In the world of utility-scale solar energy, Performance Ratio (PR) is a critical Key Performance Indicator (KPI). It indicates both the quality of technical design and informs commercial valuation. This KPI is not just about a solar plant’s efficiency; it’s about its overall health and profitability. Let’s delve into what PR is, how to calculate it, and what a good PR looks like.
Technical Design Perspective
From a technical standpoint, PR is essential as it objectively measures a solar plant’s effectiveness in converting sunlight to electrical energy. Unlike metrics focused solely on energy output, PR considers actual conditions, like solar irradiance and temperature, against theoretical maximum output. This approach is vital for identifying issues which are not apparent when just looking at production data.
In the design phase, engineers and project managers use PR projections to fine-tune the plant’s layout, component selection, and configuration. Each decision aims to maximise PR, striking a balance between cost-efficiency and performance.
PR’s importance extends to the commercial side of solar projects. Investors and stakeholders assess PR to gauge a solar project’s financial health. A higher PR not only indicates strong technical performance but also better return on investment potential. It signifies more efficient energy generation per unit of installed capacity, leading to increased revenue.
PR also plays a pivotal role in due diligence processes for acquisitions, mergers, or financing solar projects. A consistent, high PR over time signals a well-managed and maintained plant, lowering investment risk.
Why Performance Ratio (PR) Matters
The significance of PR lies in its dual role: driving technical excellence and operational optimisation, while reassuring stakeholders about a project’s profitability. In the competitive and rapidly evolving solar energy sector, understanding and maximising PR is essential for success.
Key Milestones in Solar Farm Performance: PAC, IAC, and FAC
After commissioning and energisation, solar farms encounter three critical benchmarks: Provisional Acceptance Certificate (PAC), Intermediary Acceptance Certificate (IAC), and Final Acceptance Certificate (FAC). These benchmarks are set by the Engineering Procurement Construction (EPC) provider. They come with specific PR guarantees which reflect the performance warranties established during contract negotiations.
Understanding PR Guarantees
The EPC provider isn’t entirely responsible for performance shortfalls. Their main objective is to verify that the solar farm lives up to its design-based promises. If performance falls short of PR Guarantees, contracts often include clauses for compensating the owner through Liquidated Damages (LDs).
Breaking Down the Milestones
- Provisional Acceptance Certificate (PAC): PAC ensures all mechanical works are complete, with only minor punch list Items remaining. The solar farm should be fully commissioned, energised, and exporting electricity. The PAC PR test, conducted over 8 – 12 days, compares actual Performance Ratio against the Design PR.
- Intermediary Acceptance Certificate (IAC): Conducted 365 days post-PAC, the IAC checks the completion of all punch list Items. It includes a PR test for the entire year, adjusting for agreed degradation factors. The IAC PR is typically slightly lower than the PAC PR by about 0.25% – 0.50%.
- Final Acceptance Certificate (FAC): Conducted another 365 days after the IAC, FAC is the most crucial milestone. It involves a year-long PR test, crucial for validating long-term performance and ROI.
Factors Influencing Performance Ratio
The PR of a solar plant is influenced by various factors, ranging from environmental conditions to operational details. A thorough understanding of these elements is key to optimising PR and, consequently, the efficiency and profitability of the plant.
Factors That Can Be Influenced
- System Design and Configuration: The initial design and component selection impact PR significantly.
- Solar Irradiance and Panel Orientation: Maximising solar exposure is crucial for efficiency.
- System Component Quality and Aging: Quality components maintain efficiency over time.
- Maintenance and Cleaning Practices: Regular maintenance, including cleaning, is vital for optimal PR.
- Operational Factors: Efficiency of tracking systems, inverters, and cooling systems is essential.
Factors That Can’t Be Influenced
- Temperature and Climate Conditions: Climate and temperature affect photovoltaic cell efficiency.
- Environmental and Unforeseen Factors: Factors like shading or weather damage can impact PR.
How is Performance Ratio (PR) calculated?
PR calculation is straightforward:
Total PR = Total Generation / Total Insolation / Total Capacity
This calculation compares what should have been generated against the actual outcome. Of course, different methods exist to perform PR calculations. However, for the purpose of this blogpost we will focus on simplest method. Click here to learn more about PR calculations.
Measure the total generation of your solar farm at meter level. Data Collector / Data Aggregator (DC/DA) provide platforms to export the total generation. It’s imperative to prioritise the DC/DA data for consistency and real export values. Other levels like Inverter or even String can be misleading due to higher measurements.
The total insolation should consist of the average of all your pyranometers and irradiation cells. Via the average you can account for differences of irradiation in areas of the solar farm. This is very important when, for example, the asset is built on a hilly terrain or on days with uneven cloud coverage.
Your solar farm will have a nameplate DC capacity which you want to take into account. This will most likely align with the Grid Connection Agreement and your maximum allowed output. Sometimes flash tests reveal a different total capacity than your nameplate. Such variations result from solar panels performing better or worse than expected and therefore influence the overall capacity.
What does a “good” Performance Ratio (PR) look like?
Historically, solar plants have sometimes been constructed in a rush with less focus on quality assurance. When considering plans built in the last decade, older assets usually show lower PR ratios (around the 75% – 80% mark) which goes beyond degradation only. Today the entire industry progressed and the ‘golden times’ of high Feed-In-Tariffs (FIT) are over. Therefore, PRs are a lot higher and aim for >90% at PAC. This is due to the better quality equipment available, more efficient designs, effective operations but also the enhanced pressure to achieve the desired ROI to meet the business case.
Therefore, a ‘good’ PR will always depend on the specific installation but should usually be around 90%.
In this blog post, we explored the vital role of Performance Ratio (PR) as a Key Performance Indicator in utility-scale solar energy. PR is not just a measure of efficiency but a comprehensive indicator of a solar plant’s overall health and profitability. It provides an objective measure of how effectively a solar plant converts sunlight into electrical energy, taking into account real-world conditions.
We delved into the technical design perspective, emphasising PR’s role in guiding design decisions to achieve optimal performance. From a commercial viewpoint, PR is instrumental in assessing the financial viability of solar projects, influencing investor confidence and return on investment.
Highlighting key milestones in solar farm performance, such as the Provisional Acceptance Certificate (PAC), Intermediary Acceptance Certificate (IAC), and Final Acceptance Certificate (FAC), we discussed how these benchmarks, set by the Engineering Procurement Construction (EPC) provider, come with specific PR guarantees. These play a crucial role in ensuring the project meets its designed performance standards.
Additionally, we addressed the various factors influencing PR, from system design and environmental conditions to operational aspects. Understanding these factors is essential for optimising PR and enhancing the efficiency and profitability of the plant.
The post also provided insights into the practical aspects of calculating PR, including measuring total generation, insolation, and capacity. This calculation is pivotal in comparing expected performance against actual outcomes, thus playing a key role in the management and evaluation of solar farms.
In conclusion, the Performance Ratio stands as a cornerstone in both the technical and commercial realms of utility-scale solar energy. Its optimisation is not just beneficial but essential for the success and sustainability of solar energy projects.